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253
ENSI Erfahrungs- und Forschungsbericht 2011
terministic safety analysis alone could not resolve
the issues of ex-vessel coolability and steam ex-
plosion, since it does not systematically consider
the influence of severe accident scenarios. To ac-
count for all possible accident scenarios, probabi-
listic safety analysis has to be brought into the pic-
ture together with the ongoing emphasis on de-
terministic principles (the key physics of phenom-
ena). Thus, development of an efficient approach
to combine deterministic/probabilistic safety anal-
ysis is the key to resolve the severe accident issues.
The Risk Oriented Accident Analysis Methodology
(ROAAM) is the best framework we can get for this
purpose, including the treatments of aleatory (ac-
cident scenario) and epistemic (physical phenom-
enon) uncertainties. Accordingly, the next phase
(2012–2016) of the MSWI project will be focused
to development of «Risk-oriented framework for
safety analysis of severe accident issues in Nordic
BWRs». The research activities in the new phase
are divided into four sub-tasks, tightly intercon-
nected with each other: (1) risk evaluation and
synthesis (RES); (2) melt ejection mode (MEM); (3)
debris coolability map (DECO); and (4) steam ex-
plosion impact map (SEIM). Guidelines for experi-
mental and analytical activities in the MEM, DECO
and SEIM sub-tasks as well as integration of de-
veloped methods and produced data in ROAAM
frameworks will be provided in RES (risk evalua-
tion and synthesis).
Publications
[1] W. Villanueva, C.T. Tran and P. Kudinov, As-
sessment with coupled thermo-mechanical
creep analysis of combined CRGT and exter-
nal vessel cooling efficiency for a BWR, Proc.
NURETH-14, Toronto, Canada, Sept. 25–29,
2011.
[2] W. Villanueva, C.T. Tran and P. Kudinov, A
Computational study on instrumentation
guide tube failure during a severe accident in
boiling water reactors, Proc. of NURETH-14,
Toronto, Ontario, Canada, September 25–29,
2011.
[3] C.T. Tran and P. Kudinov, Local heat trans-
fer from the corium melt pool to the boil-
ing water reactor pressure vessel wall, Proc.
of NURETH-14, Toronto, Canada, September
25–29, 2011.
[4] P. Kudinov and M. Davydov, Prediction of mass
fraction of agglomerated debris in a LWR se-
vere accident, Proc. of NURETH-14, Toronto,
Ontario, Canada, September 25–29, 2011.
[5] S. Yakush and P. Kudinov, Effects of water
pool subcooling on the debris bed spreading
by coolant flow, Proc. of 2011 Internation-
al Congress on Advances in Nuclear Power
Plants (ICAPP 2011), Nice, France, May 2–5,
2011.
[6] L.X. Li and W.M. Ma, Experimental charac-
terization of effective particle diameter of a
packed bed with multi-diameter spheres, Nu-
clear Engineering and Design, vol. 241, pp.
1736–1745, 2011.
[7] L.X. Li and W.M. Ma, An experimental study
on the effective particle diameter of a packed
bed with non-spherical particles, Transport in
Porous Media, vol. 89, pp. 35–48, 2011.
[8] L.X. Li and W.M. Ma, Experimental investiga-
tions on friction laws and dryout heat flux of
particulate bed packed with multi-size spheres
or irregular particles, Proc. of ICONE19, Chi-
ba, Japan, May 16–19, 2011.
[9] L.X. Li, S. Thakre and W.M. Ma, An experi-
mental study on two-phase flow and coola-
bility of particulate beds packed with multi-
size particles, Proc. of NURETH-14, Toronto,
Canada, September 25–29, 2011.
[10] L.X. Li, A. Karbojian, P. Kudinov and W.M. Ma,
An experimental study on dryout heat flux of
particulate beds packed with irregular parti-
cles, Proc. of ICAPP2011, Nice, France, May
2–5, 2011.
[11] W.M. Ma, Prediction of dryout heat flux of
volumetrically heated particulate beds packed
with multi-size particles, Proc. NURETH-14,
Toronto, Canada, September 25–29, 2011.
[12] S. Yakush, P. Kudinov and N.T. Lubchenko,
Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of debris
bed coolability, Proc. of NURETH-14, Toronto,
Ontario, Canada, September 25–29, 2011.
[13] R.C. Hansson, L.T. Manickam and T.N. Dinh,
The effect of binary oxide materials on a sin-
gle droplet vapor explosion triggering, Proc.
NURETH-14, Toronto, Canada, September
25–29, 2011.
[14] S. Thakre, L.X. Li and W.M. Ma, A numerical
analysis on the hydrodynamics of heavy mol-
ten droplets in a water pool, Proceedings of
ICAPP 2011, Nice, France, May 2–5, 2011.
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